CLARITY Act Polymarket Skepticism: Ethics ‘Breakthrough’ Fails to Move Prediction Markets
Prediction markets are rarely swayed by the performative theater of legislative compromise. When the White House announced an agreement on an ethics provision for the CLARITY Act on July 20, 2026, Polymarket odds for the bill becoming law ticked upward from 32% to 43%. The enthusiasm was short-lived. By July 22, the market had already…