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Rising tide or sinking ship

Rising tide NFT

Image: AI-generated via Midjourney.

A rising tide or a sinking ship?

Last week, OpenSea announced that they will stop enforcing royalties beginning next year. It’s a polarizing decision that is many things at the same time — bold, narrow-visioned, and above all else, probably inevitable. One thing is for sure, it’s market-impacting. 

You can’t call OpenSea’s decision right or wrong, because it’s both depending on who you ask. Tech purists may argue that digital ownership means we own our assets and don’t want to be told what we must do with them. Creators on the other hand will say that you’ll have no non-fungible tokens (NFTs) if there’s no incentive for them to create them. They’re both right. 

The full impact of their new policy hasn’t come close to being realized yet. Yuga Labs is now making plans to prevent their NFTs from being traded on OpenSea entirely, while Mark Cuban called their decision “a HUGE mistake”.

Already the value of NFTs has plummeted by almost 6%, with nearly all of it representing a reaction to OpenSea.

Last week’s average sales prices took a huge hit after the announcement, falling to just US$26.29, the lowest since NFTs average sale price of US$24.98 the week of Aug. 17, 2020. Value is evaporating and traders know it. Sellers’ losses fell to US$9.5 million, and it seems that they’re increasingly looking to exit positions with whatever returns they can get. 

Bored Ape Yacht Club #8585 is a perfect example of the hits traders are taking to their investments, which sold over the weekend for US$255,000 (153 ETH), a huge loss from its last sale of US$1.03 million (777 ETH).

While there’s no denying that value is sinking, more emphasis needs to be put on the parts of the NFT market that are growing. Last week’s 3,701,871 total transactions is an all-time high for NFTs, and we reached that milestone with 36% fewer sellers and 67% buyers than the previous high during the week of Feb. 14, 2022. Traders who are here are more engaged than ever, and the infrastructure that has been built around that action is designed to scale. That’s good because we’re going to need it for the next run. 

So back to the opening question “is the NFT tide rising or is the ship sinking?”. Like the royalty dilemma, it’s both at the same time. Your answer depends on one of two things, were you here for profits alone, or were you here to witness technical innovation and a cultural phenomenon? Now you have your answer. 

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